Which international routes are QANTAS likely to cut tomorrow?

Driley28,Manilla is a high yeid sector with a load % over and above many others with litlte or no competition.IT MAY BE A330 but it makes money,While it could be Jet stared they need routes that make money .

Serious? Perhaps they'll pull CGK and up MNL, even though I always thought it was better the other way around - cut MNL and up CGK.

I don't think that QF will move BKK to JQ. I feel that QF will alter the A380 time table and begin a daily service to HKG & NRT. 

My feeling is they will cut the DXB-LHR leg of QF9. Loads on SYD-SIN have been struggling, I would expect Qantas to reduce capacity on the route. Either they will remove one of the two daily services or permanently replace the B744 on the route with the A330. Loads on SYD-CGK and SYD-MNL have also been poor, I would expect these services to go or to be pushed aside to JQ.

I would expect SYD-NRT to be unchanged. If anything Qantas could expand capacity to Japan (two A330's, maybe a Melbourne one, or one A380 a few times a week could work?).

I would expect the Americas to be unchanged. The recent extension of SYD-SCL to Rio and the high yields on this route suggest that SYD-SCL will stay (maybe money in permanently extending to Brazil).

I hope SYD-PVG stays. For strategic reasons it makes sense to keep this one. Also, QF is easily the best carrier on this route. 

SYD-JNB is  an interesting one given the recent cessation of the SAA codeshare. Perhaps QF will cut it or maybe they should play copy cat and also leave from Perth. QF should be able to win this one over SAA and their antique A340's. This would also put JNB in A330 range.

I absolutely agree

I don't think SYD-SIN is 'struggling' at all, but for fleet reasons removing the 744 and putting the 333 full-time makes sense.

Which is why I'm screaming for refurbs to be done on them ASAP. It doesn't need to be a world-beating workhorse. It just has to be a decent plane, and the A380 product is fine.

Qantas SIN loads average below 75%. They have put on too much capacity post EK alliance with too inferior a product. I agree with you about the refurbishment. I think the new business class looks excellent but it's really 6 years over due (so is getting rid of Marc Newson). Qantas didn't have the first A380 but they came up short to Emirates and Singapore in Economy through First from the get go. They started later and from behind (which is what BA has now done with their A380).

Marc Newson is fine, but the seats are crap. Hell, the A330 Y predates him!

They need to up the product. Price is competitive and scheduling is okay - better with a day flight ex-SIN, though.

Even from Perth, I would still think a 4 engine plane is needed to meet ETOPS requirements? Am I wrong?

Right you are. It might just be ETOPS-330 but of course QF doesn't have a 777.