Which international routes are QANTAS likely to cut tomorrow?

Which international routes are QANTAS likely to cut tomorrow?

Not much left to cut, but I would not be surprised if they cut Asia and merge SYD-LHR and MEL-LHR into one (like running DXB-LHR leg on one plane only). LAX flights are pretty safe IMHO.

Its going to be very interesting - given the amount of PR that has been coming from QF in the last six months the changes are going to be vast.

JNB I think. They'll probably retire most or all 744's (except the ER models to/from USA) in order to save on fuel, meaning they'll retire routes served by those aircraft - routes where a 330 isn't enough and a 380 is too much. Not sure but SCL might go too.

no santiago is one of the routes that qantas makes money on 

LAX, DFW, SCL, LHR, DXB, HKG, NRT, SIN are safe in my opinion. There might be some changes like dropping one leg DXB-LHR, fleet utilisation improvements and aircraft changes. I expect SYD-HKG to go daily A380.

I expect JQ to fully take over HNL and CGK to go.

I'd be interested to see how PVG, BKK & MNL fair. I just don't know about JNB and suspect if they keep it, it will have to drop frequency.

In 2010, QF announced that by the end of 2014 they'll only have 9 x 747's. I suspect that'll be by end of June. That means 6 x 747 retirements with associated crews redundant. I suspect the 767's to be retired this year... once again with associated crews redundant - 13 x 767's.

Safe: LAX, DFW, SCL, LHR, DXB, HKG, SIN, NRT - agree with all, except that we might see some frequency and/or timing changes.

HNL - probably 787 JQi

PVG - probably safe, might be retimed

BKK - probably safe, might go down to 5x weekly

CGK - iffy, but will probably prevail over MNL

MNL - I think this will go outright, with equipment used for CGK or some other port

JNB - I think this will stay, but it might drop frequency or have a PER stop some days of the week

Agree with all the safe ones.

MNL will go outright or maybe to JQ

CGK and HNL will go all to JQ I reckon

Wouldnt be surprised if PVG was cut completely.

Whatever happens, it'll be an interesting announcement tomorrow.

I agree MNL is likely to be slashed outright, but I think PVG will have some change not amounting to cancellation: retimed (e.g. for overnight outbound), reduced frequency (e.g. 5x weekly). HNL is likely to go all-JQi for some consistency, and it finally allows the QFi 767s with Dreamtime J to go, but I think CGK and BKK are safe on QFi metal for now.

There is always the chance of CGK going to a codeshare deal with a more frequent Garuda service, and PVG going over to China Eastern on another codeshare deal ex-SYD and ex-MEL.

It's hard to know, but I note that MNL gets supplementary services and I have not seen CGK ever receive any.

Its worth noting that CGK loads are not great

Interesting. I wouldn't be surprised if they codeshare to CGK on GA, but it would be sad to see it go.

If they pull back on a DXB to London by cancelling or reducing  QF 9/10 is this an admission that the emirates tie up has failed?

I think it will be a sign that the Emirates tie up has been successful with people transferring on EK services to mainland Europe instead of backtracking from LHR.

Or a sign that more and more people are choosing NOT to fly to LHR with Qantas.